Sunday, January 24, 2010

Unemployment and financial crisis

World is suffering from historic financial crisis, due to which many companies became bankrupt,
due to heavy loss, unemployment has increased and companies are still getting rid of the employees....

This scenerio is dangerous and whole world is suffering from this. We can help ourselves and our nation by a little cooperation. We should cooperate each other and instead of getting rid of our employees due to financial crisis we should decrease the salaries and should compansate in that.

This is the best way of dealing unemployment in these financial crisis.

Saturday, January 9, 2010

Real Facts of FOREX trading and market.....

The investor’s goal in Forex trading is to profit from foreign currency movements. Forex trading or currency trading is always done in currency pairs. For example, the exchange rate of EUR/USD on Aug 26th, 2003 was 1.0857. This number is also referred to as a "Forex rate" or just "rate" for short. If the investor had bought 1000 euros on that date, he would have paid 1085.70 U.S. dollars. One year later, the Forex rate was 1.2083, which means that the value of the Euro (the numerator of the EUR/USD ratio) increased in relation to the U.S. dollar. The investor could now sell the 1000 euros in order to receive 1208.30 dollars. Therefore, the investor would have USD 122.60 more than what he had started one year earlier. However, to know if the investor made a good investment, one needs to compare this investment option to alternative investments. At the very minimum, the return on investment (ROI) should be compared to the return on a "risk-free" investment. One example of a risk-free investment is long-term U.S. government bonds since there is practically no chance for a default, i.e. the U.S. government going bankrupt or being unable or unwilling to pay its debt obligation.

When trading currencies, trade only when you expect the currency you are buying to increase in value relative to the currency you are selling. If the currency you are buying does increase in value, you must sell back the other currency in order to lock in a profit. An open trade (also called an open position) is a trade in which a trader has bought or sold a particular currency pair and has not yet sold or bought back the equivalent amount to close the position.

However, it is estimated that anywhere from 70%-90% of the FX market is speculative. In other words, the person or institution that bought or sold the currency has no plan to actually take delivery of the currency in the end; rather, they were solely speculating on the movement of that particular currency.

What are easy credit conditions in forex market...

Lower interest rates encourage borrowing. From 2000 to 2003, the Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds rate target from 6.5% to 1.0%. This was done to soften the effects of the collapse of the dot-com bubble and of the September 2001 terrorist attacks, and to combat the perceived risk of deflation.

U.S. Current Account or Trade Deficit

Additional downward pressure on interest rates was created by the USA's high and rising current account (trade) deficit, which peaked along with the housing bubble in 2006. Ben Bernanke explained how trade deficits required the U.S. to borrow money from abroad, which bid up bond prices and lowered interest rates.

Bernanke explained that between 1996 and 2004, the USA current account deficit increased by $650 billion, from 1.5% to 5.8% of GDP. Financing these deficits required the USA to borrow large sums from abroad, much of it from countries running trade surpluses, mainly the emerging economies in Asia and oil-exporting nations. The balance of payments identity requires that a country (such as the USA) running a current account deficit also have a capital account (investment) surplus of the same amount. Hence large and growing amounts of foreign funds (capital) flowed into the USA to finance its imports. This created demand for various types of financial assets, raising the prices of those assets while lowering interest rates. Foreign investors had these funds to lend, either because they had very high personal savings rates (as high as 40% in China), or because of high oil prices. Bernanke referred to this as a "saving glut." A "flood" of funds (capital or liquidity) reached the USA financial markets. Foreign governments supplied funds by purchasing USA Treasury bonds and thus avoided much of the direct impact of the crisis. USA households, on the other hand, used funds borrowed from foreigners to finance consumption or to bid up the prices of housing and financial assets. Financial institutions invested foreign funds in mortgage backed securities.

The Fed then raised the Fed funds rate significantly between July 2004 and July 2006. This contributed to an increase in 1-year and 5-year adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) rates, making ARM interest rate resets more expensive for homeowners. This may have also contributed to the deflating of the housing bubble, as asset prices generally move inversely to interest rates and it became riskier to speculate in housing. USA housing and financial assets dramatically declined in value after the housing bubble burst.

How forex experts should work in the Forex market......

The program works by calculating the different indicators that it was designed to use and take actions when the market conditions meet the correct criteria as described in the source code of the Expert Advisor.
Fore Example. A simple expert advisor may say something like this:
"If the 9 and 20 day moving averages cross with the 9 day MA above the 20 MA and the RSI is higher than 50 then open a long position (buy)"
That is just an example. You can assign countless conditions for entering and exiting the market as well as managing trades for trailing stops and multiple take profit levels.
An MT-4 Expert Advisor is usually divided into three parts: A startup or ‘init’ function, a main function and a ‘deinit’ or cleanup function. The Expert Advisor will run through its startup function once upon startup and will run through its ‘deinit’ or clean-up function once at the end. In the mean time, the MT-4 Expert Advisor program runs through a cycle of its main function over and over with every incoming tick while it is attached to a chart and active. Once running, the Expert Advisor will not start another cycle for a new tick if it is still in the middle of processing the previous one.
Here is a simple outline of what a simple expert advisor could be programmed to do.
(This would be the 'main' part of the EA and takes place every time a tick comes in.)
Check my account. Is there enough equity to open a trade? if so, continue. If not, end.
2- Are there any open trades right now?
2a- If there are, do they need to be closed or do they need their trailing stop adjusted? (do so if needed and exit.)
2b- If there are no open trades, are the market conditions right to open one? (do so if needed and exit. )

Are Trading challenges hard to deal with????

Traders, who from time to time have emotional challenges or problems in their trading career by no means alone, are. These challenges are part of business. Listen to your body and its signals - it always gives signs of bad habits. But may be some steps that will help protect you against each trader's own "Achilles five. Just look at the specific problem or challenge. For example, a trader may have the tendency to give a three-week return for the two days. Sometimes it is useful to identify the conditions that the previous period, when a trader becomes a "vulnerable". Does he feel himself kikuyu him, reaching new highs on your account? Or whether it was diverted events that took place outside the trade? Trader should learn to recognize the various sides of their personality that affect their trade, because these features will never go away.

In the end, we are not robots - we are real people. But when we can recognize the patterns of feelings and emotions that we feel, before they started to bring trouble, we are less likely to make a deal, which is not part of our game plan. Keep trading plan every day. He is insured from entering into spontaneous transactions. It also protects the trader from the use of inappropriate strategies for the day, reminding him that the market is changing from period to period of development trend of variability. Trader can identify in advance the type of the period in which it is located, and be prepared to apply the appropriate strategy for the day. Traditions and rituals are the tools in order to remain prepared in the present and can help protect the trader's conduct consistent with his trading plan. Everyone needs tools to create structure and order in the otherwise very abstract game. Maintains records, such as the logical background of transactions, statistics or market indicator, is an excellent means of discipline, which helps to remain consistent. Also effective tool is a set of small goals every day. Such a goal might be to have a winning three consecutive days, or a clear plan to follow the trade during the day. This also may be - do not enter more than three transactions per day and to refrain from exceeding the trade regime. Or, open position in each five-bull or bear flag that formed. The small trader's goal should reflect his own style of trading, the needs and weaknesses.

Trader should learn to distinguish between errors caused by the market environment and the voluntary mistakes that he makes himself. He should avoid doing on the efforts, if the current market environment is unfavorable, or his normal style of trading is not suitable for current conditions. A good way to correct behavior is to always think about the desired result. Write it next to the trading screen. Read it every morning.

Each time a trader is going to take any action, it must ask itself whether it has its desired goal. It should provide a sense of victorious after short-term goals and overplay this feeling many times in their minds as motivation. It is very clear to imagine that the goal is related to the market every day, not only in the long run. Traders should consider the possibility of a friend, a trader with whom they can share their daily results. Most traders will make a greater success if they would be responsible to anyone for the performance of their trade.

They are less likely to allow a big loss to get out of control. If their reasoning harm, at least, there is someone else who can draw their attention to the fact that a trader deviates from its plan or may be in need of a break. Dude on the trade - this is not the one who offers advice on the market or in relation to specific transactions. If the trader feels the need to ask anyone's opinion on the council or the market, it is sure sign that he should not be at this point in the market. Dude should be the same coach who can lift the mood, or enhance, if necessary, motivation, or to serve a foreign party to indicate when a trader is in the destructive behavior of the commercial, which ends with a long recession. Markets can change quickly enough. Less biased trader can be more easily adjusted to the environment. If he starts to develop a bias that is not accompanied by technical factors, but due to emotions or weakness of the discourse, the signals of his body most likely did not tell him. Most professionals know when they are in a bad deal and they know when they make a mistake. The more the trader makes transactions, and the more experience he gets, the sooner he will learn to recognize their own personal traits, which indicate that he really is in a bad deal, irrespective of whether their level of stop-order or not.

As long as the trader is able to benefit from this knowledge, this is another excellent reason to always have placed a stop order on the market! It is equally important that he remembered how his body feels when it is under control and has a winning attitude. The best traders go a step further and added to a winning position. The green light is lit! The foot on the gas! This concept is as important as learning to recognize when a transaction is not working.

How can The TRADERS identify Trading Problems

Always identify a specific problem or challenge. Here is a list of questions that will help identify areas that should draw more attention. Is there any time of day when the most losing the deal? Some traders achieve best results the morning and some afternoon. What types of transactions lead to more consistent results?

Many traders have shown their best results, trading at a short time scale, and not giving a big picture raise doubts about the benefits of trade in the longer term. For others, attempts to make short-term skalpirovanie may result in an excess of the trade regime and frequent rapid spread. Is there a game plan or program trading, which is defined before the start of the trading day, and how close this plan implemented? Are there any extraneous factors from the outside, such as personal relationships, financial problems, or disease affecting the reasoning trader or distracting him? Are the days of big losses due to emotional or decrease alertness, and whether the trader has a more emotional or reactive to these days? Is the general peregrine, leading to bad habits, and lack of concentration or inertial excess trading regime?

These are some of the reasons that normal, intelligent people can be caught in the destructive behavior. So, is it possible to break the patterns that lead to more emotional market downturns? And, as a trader can move it to the next level, knowing when things go right, and thus increasing the size of the best deals?

What is Fractional Reserve Banking....

Fractional-reserve banking is the banking practice in which banks keep only a fraction of their deposits in reserve (as cash and other highly liquid assets) and lend out the remainder, while maintaining the simultaneous obligation to redeem all these deposits upon demand Fractional reserve banking necessarily occurs when banks lend out any fraction of the funds received from deposit accounts. This practice is universal in modern banking, and is to be contrasted with full-reserve banking which died out over two centuries ago.

By its nature, the practice of fractional reserve banking expands money supply (cash and demand deposits) beyond what it would otherwise be. Because of the prevalence of fractional reserve banking, the broad money supply of most countries is a multiple larger than the amount of base money created by the country's central bank. That multiple (called the money multiplier) is determined by the reserve requirement or other financial ratio requirements imposed by financial regulators, and by the excess reserves kept by commercial banks.

Central banks generally mandate reserve requirements that require banks to keep a minimum fraction of their demand deposits as cash reserves. This both limits the amount of money creation that occurs in the commercial banking system, and ensures that banks have enough ready cash to meet normal demand for withdrawals. Problems can arise, however, when a large number of depositors seek withdrawal of their deposits; this can cause a bank runor, when problems are extreme and widespread, a systemic crisis. To mitigate these problems, central banks (or other government institutions) generally regulate and oversee commercial banks, act as lender of last resort to commercial banks, and also insure the deposits of the commercial banks customers.